Model Predictions
| Model | SE Louisiana Lions | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +13 (82-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
SE Louisiana Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Fortenberry * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Trent Hutchin * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | - |
| David Ndoumba * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Rodney Jones * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jason Marks * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gary Dixon | 31 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| DeShawn Patterson | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Antonnio Benton | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Roosevelt Johnson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Michael Harrel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Bishop * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Ryan White * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| John Bowman * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Travis Jones * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 26 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Matt Staff | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Uriel Segura | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J.B. Conley | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Reid Koenen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter