Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +18 (79-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Hurtt * | 27 | 5-15 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | -18.0 |
| Scottie Haralson * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.7 |
| Bryson Pope * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -14.3 |
| Steven Idlet * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -7.1 |
| Joe Richard * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -21.6 |
| Jordan Clarkson | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | -10.0 |
| Tim Peete | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -4.6 |
| Blondy Baruti | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Magley | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10.0 |
| Kodi Maduka | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Shane Heirman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Ladarrius Whitehead | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colter Morgan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Sanger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Barrett Hunter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Kane * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | +15.9 |
| Tirrell Baines * | 31 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | +26.7 |
| Johnny Thomas * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +22.4 |
| Damier Pitts * | 28 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | +22.0 |
| Nigel Spikes * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Dago Pena | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Shaquille Johnson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Aundra Williams | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| Orlando Allen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Xavier Humphrey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Howe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Noah Fischer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter