Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +8 (84-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Ogide * | 27 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Adam Nigon * | 24 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Travis Franklin * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier | 34 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Will Bell | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Terel Hughes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre McFarland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette * | 37 | 9-26 | 2-8 | 14-16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 10 | - |
| Jackson Emery * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Davies * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Noah Hartsock * | 31 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Charles Abouo * | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Logan Magnusson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Rogers | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| James Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter