Model Predictions
| Model | McNeese Cowboys | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -9 (72-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Richard | 36 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 15 | +3.4 |
| C.J. Collins | 35 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +2.5 |
| P.J. Alawoya | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | +1.2 |
| Diego Kapelan | 34 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Preston David | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Stephan Martin | 21 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Daniel Richard | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Dontae Cannon | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Brandon Regis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Ingram | 32 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -4.0 |
| LaMarcus Reed III | 28 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | -10.9 |
| Armani Williams | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Bradley Gay | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Cameron Catlett | 21 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -7.0 |
| Shaquille White-Miller | 19 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Brandon Edwards | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +11.2 |
| Bryant Smith | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Reves | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Stuart Lagerson | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Darius Richardson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter