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Model Predictions

Model Wofford Terriers Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% - โœ“
Margin 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Pythagorean 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs -39 (58-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Wofford Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Rundles * 31 7-14 5-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 21 12 +15.0
Brad Loesing * 29 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 6 2 0 1 13 13 +6.3
Tim Johnson * 28 3-5 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 1 2 6 16 +13.8
Noah Dahlman * 25 9-11 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 0 0 23 22 +14.7
Jamar Diggs * 24 2-5 1-2 6-9 4 4 1 1 0 11 16 +12.9
Nathan Parker 15 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 1 0 1 3 6 6 +10.0
Kevin Giltner 13 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -3 +9.2
Drew Crowell 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 +6.1
Terry Martin 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.6
Aerris Smith 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.0
Taylor Wagener 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.0
Matt Steelman 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 +4.0
Joseph Tecklenburg 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +4.0

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Bell * 37 4-13 2-11 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 10 4 -23.8
DeAntre Jefferson * 20 0-2 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 2 1 3 -10.9
Troy Cage * 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 1 -1 -7.3
Jeremy Saffore * 17 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -3.6
Jeff Smith * 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.5
Ricky Taylor 22 4-10 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 1 -9.2
Omar Wattad 20 1-7 0-4 3-5 2 2 0 0 1 5 1 -10.3
Chris Early 20 5-10 3-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 13 5 -4.9
Jahmal Burroughs 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -15.2
Dontay Hampton 14 4-7 2-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 12 7 -7.6
Sam Watson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -10.7

* = starter