Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats +10 (70-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Thomas * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Torian Oglesby * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A'uston Calhoun * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joe Jakubowski * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordon Crawford | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Craig Sealey | 23 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dabney | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kraus | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Danny McElroy | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Black | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Erger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVaughn Washington * | 36 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nick Kellogg * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tommy Freeman * | 27 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Hall * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ivo Baltic * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Cooper | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Keely | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Ricardo Johnson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Asown Sayles | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adetunji Adedipe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter