Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 25 | - |
| T. Willis * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 30 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Q. Thomas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 30 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Jasper | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| B. Massamba | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gary * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 34 | - |
| P. McDonald * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 31 | - |
| K. Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Snell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Fenton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Kirk | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter