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2011-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.8% 28.2% -
Margin 57.2% 42.8% -1.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Dunn * 36 4-14 2-8 2-2 0 0 0 0 6 12 -8 -
A.J. Walton * 35 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 0 -3 -
P. Jones * 35 5-13 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 4 10 3 -
J. Morgan * 20 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 10 10 -
A. Jones * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 4 3 -
Q. Acy 26 5-11 0-0 3-5 9 1 2 2 2 13 14 -
S. Love 24 4-8 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 10 6 -
F. Ellis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Denmon * 32 5-12 2-5 1-3 1 3 1 0 2 13 4 -
R. Ratliffe * 29 5-7 1-1 0-2 13 0 0 2 3 11 16 -
K. English * 26 6-9 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 16 10 -
L. Bowers * 25 8-13 0-0 4-4 9 0 6 2 2 20 22 -
P. Pressey * 19 0-7 0-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 3 0 -1 -
M. Dixon Jr. 20 2-6 0-3 4-4 3 3 3 0 2 8 9 -
J. Safford 19 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
M. Pressey 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
R. Kreklow 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Moore 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
J. Sutton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter