Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +16 (78-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +7.8 |
| Derwin Kitchen * | 33 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | +1.7 |
| Bernard James * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Okaro White * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Terrance Shannon | 20 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Luke Loucks | 15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -10.3 |
| Xavier Gibson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Ian Miller | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -4.9 |
| Jon Kreft | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.7 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dino Gregory * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 16 | +5.1 |
| Jordan Williams * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +1.0 |
| Sean Mosley * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | -6.7 |
| Terrell Stoglin * | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Cliff Tucker * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Adrian Bowie | 28 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +14.3 |
| Pe'Shon Howard | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +12.2 |
| Haukur Palsson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +5.4 |
| James Padgett | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.9 |
* = starter