Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +18 (69-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idris Hilliard * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | -14.4 |
| Langston Galloway * | 30 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -10.4 |
| Carl Jones * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -23.3 |
| Daryus Quarles * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -10.4 |
| Ronald Roberts Jr. * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -8.1 |
| Charoy Bentley | 27 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | -15.4 |
| C.J. Aiken | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -10.6 |
| Carl Baptiste | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Taylor Trevisan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.1 |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Correia * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +13.9 |
| Anthony Gurley * | 27 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | +25.1 |
| Javorn Farrell * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Terrell Vinson * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Sean Carter * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Sampson Carter | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +14.6 |
| Raphiael Putney | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Hashim Bailey | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Jesse Morgan | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -4.9 |
| Matt Hill | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +11.0 |
* = starter