Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -18 (58-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Leonard * | 34 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jermaine Mallett * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Nafis Ricks * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Will Creekmore * | 27 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Patterson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Cooper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Valla | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou Seck * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| John Freeman * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Diamond Taylor * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Carlton Fay * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Justin Bocot | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Mykel Cleveland | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Crowder | 15 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Nate Mitchell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Myers | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter