Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | Delaware Blue Hens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware Blue Hens +10 (80-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Philmore * | 40 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Brian Morris * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Josh Brown * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Dre Conner * | 33 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Braxton Dupree * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +2.3 |
| RaShawn Polk | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Erique Gumbs | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.2 |
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Saddler * | 40 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Jawan Carter * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 10-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +2.0 |
| D.J. Boney * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Kelvin McNeil * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +0.4 |
| Hakim McCullar * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -12.5 |
| Brian Johnson | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Edwin Santiago | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
* = starter