Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks -6 (73-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonard Hayes * | 38 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Bryan Dougher * | 37 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Dallis Joyner * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Danny Carter * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chris Martin * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Rouse | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Jackson | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Eric McAlister | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Al Rapier | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Mayo | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Burton * | 45 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Joe Zeglinski * | 44 | 8-23 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Minor * | 38 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Morgan Sabia * | 31 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Clayton Brothers * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Baker | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Estes | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Genesis Maciel | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ross Erickson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mustafaa Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter