Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (77-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Miller * | 44 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | -7.5 |
| Brandon Knight * | 43 | 8-23 | 1-8 | 9-9 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | -5.2 |
| Josh Harrellson * | 42 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 24 | -4.1 |
| Terrence Jones * | 39 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Doron Lamb * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -15.3 |
| DeAndre Liggins | 39 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Eloy Vargas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotnei Clarke * | 44 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 11-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 14 | +16.4 |
| Marshawn Powell * | 39 | 9-19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Delvon Johnson * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Marcus Britt * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.5 |
| Jeff Peterson * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +11.8 |
| Julysses Nobles | 30 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +7.8 |
| Michael Sanchez | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
| Mardracus Wade | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Glenn Bryant | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +6.1 |
* = starter