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2011-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% -
Bradley-Terry 61.8% 38.2% -
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 74.2% 25.8% -
Efficiency 95.3% 4.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Log Adjusted 95.4% 4.6% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +1 (77-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Miller * 44 5-13 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 2 0 13 12 -
B. Knight * 43 8-23 1-8 9-9 8 5 0 0 3 26 13 -
J. Harrellson * 42 5-7 0-1 2-2 14 2 1 3 1 12 24 -
T. Jones * 39 5-12 0-1 0-2 8 1 1 4 2 10 10 -
D. Lamb * 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 -3 -
D. Liggins 39 6-11 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 13 9 -
E. Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Clarke * 44 6-16 3-9 11-12 3 1 1 1 2 26 14 -
M. Powell * 39 9-19 2-3 2-2 10 1 0 0 2 22 12 -
D. Johnson * 34 3-9 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 2 1 6 5 -
M. Britt * 32 3-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 2 1 6 4 -
J. Peterson * 19 3-5 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
J. Nobles 30 4-10 2-4 0-1 1 1 0 1 1 10 2 -
M. Sanchez 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Wade 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
G. Bryant 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter