Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -2 (74-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 35 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 19 | +2.4 |
| Carl Richard * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -6.4 |
| Myles Walker * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Aaron Carter * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Dwayne Lathan * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Jordan Printy | 28 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Steve McWhorter | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3.6 |
| RJ Mahurin | 13 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +7.1 |
| Koang Doluony | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.2 |
| Lucas Eitel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.5 |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Moran * | 38 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Kwadzo Ahelegbe * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 8-12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Jake Koch * | 25 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +7.7 |
| Anthony James * | 20 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Austin Pehl * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
| Kerwin Dunham | 31 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -12.2 |
| Marc Sonnen | 29 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.8 |
| Chip Rank | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -14.8 |
| Matt Morrison | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter