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2011-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.5% 29.5% -
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (51-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 10 18 -
W. Egolf * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 1 8 17 -
D. Dunson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 6 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 15 18 -
J. Prosser * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 2 0 2 4 14 -
J. Eastman 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 4 11 -
W. Lemon Jr. 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Knezevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hill * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 10 10 -
A. Rubin * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 3 7 -
T. Lewis * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 8 -
J. Ekey * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 -
B. Mishler * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 4 6 -
J. Carmichael 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 1 2 3 19 32 -
J. Clark 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
J. Wilkins 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 7 15 -
A. Cousin 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
T. Blue 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
Z. Upshaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter