Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (51-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Warren * | 40 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Dodie Dunson * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +7.3 |
| Will Egolf * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -1.7 |
| Dyricus Simms-Edwards * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -14.3 |
| Jordan Prosser * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Jake Eastman | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Walt Lemon Jr. | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Milos Knezevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hill * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Alex Rubin * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +5.0 |
| Tony Lewis * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Jon Ekey * | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | +3.4 |
| Blake Mishler * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Jackie Carmichael | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +2.1 |
| Justin Clark | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -0.6 |
| John Wilkins | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Anthony Cousin | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Trey Blue | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Zeke Upshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter