Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Houston Christian Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Christian Huskies +2 (70-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Washington III | 37 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 13-14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | -1.2 |
| Jason Jones | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 6 | -14.8 |
| JT Sulton | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -9.7 |
| James Gallman | 22 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Rod Emanuel | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -9.6 |
| Jimmy Oden | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
| Trevor Ottley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Shawn Jones | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Trevor Charles | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Zane Gibson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Gonzalez | 40 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 13-17 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 21 | +5.0 |
| Fred Hinnenkamp | 34 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Michael Moss | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 17 | +9.9 |
| Jonathan Evans | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Shawn Echols | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -0.4 |
| Terry Bembry | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Lamar Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Ben Daniels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Aaron Asp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter