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Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 57.1% 42.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -1.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 69.1% 30.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.2% 32.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (70-76). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Maya Moore * 31 4-10 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 1 7 9 0 -
Seimone Augustus * 25 4-13 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
Taj McWilliams-Franklin * 21 4-4 0-0 2-4 8 2 0 1 2 10 15 -
Lindsay Whalen * 20 4-8 1-2 3-3 1 2 0 0 0 12 7 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 20 2-6 0-0 5-5 3 0 2 0 0 9 8 -
Alexis Hornbuckle 20 3-7 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 8 4 -
Candice Wiggins 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 4 3 1 0 3 10 -
M. Wright 16 2-7 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
Amber Harris 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 -
Charde Houston 10 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Jessica Adair 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
T. Catchings * 31 3-10 0-3 4-4 5 2 3 0 2 10 8 -
Katie Douglas * 28 6-13 2-5 1-1 5 2 1 1 1 15 10 -
Briann January * 25 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 3 0 6 2 -6 -
T. Smith * 22 4-9 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 10 5 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
S. Zellous 17 1-2 0-0 4-5 3 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
Shyra Ely-Gash 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 2 -2 -
Jessica Davenport 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Erin Phillips 10 2-4 0-1 4-5 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Shannon Bobbitt 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Jessica Moore 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 5 3 -

* = starter