Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -3 (58-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Primm * | 39 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Matt Dickey * | 37 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Chris Stephenson * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Quinard Jackson * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +0.4 |
| John Williams * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Jaron Lane | 24 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +10.4 |
| Eric Stubbs | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Toles Hartman | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Trent Meyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | -5.8 |
| Danny Nieman * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Chad Gray * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +5.6 |
| Sam McLaurin * | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | +6.0 |
| Dexter Moore * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -13.4 |
| Anthony Raffa | 37 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Jon Pack | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Jordan Griffin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter