Model Predictions
| Model | Weber State Wildcats | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -24 (39-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hughey | 34 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | +15.5 |
| Jordan Richardson | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +14.6 |
| Darin Mahoney | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +12.5 |
| Trevor Morris | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Kyle Bullinger | 26 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Scott Bamforth | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +9.9 |
| Kyle Tresnak | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Byron Fulton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +13.9 |
| Blake Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| B.J. Porter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broderick Gilchrest | 34 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | -11.3 |
| Kenny McGowen | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -17.6 |
| Abner Moreira | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -15.9 |
| Phyllip Taylor | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -7.7 |
| Deividas Busma | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Mike Lacey | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -13.9 |
| Chase Grabau | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.8 |
| Andre Hatchett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Kamil Gawrzydek | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Nick Mason | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Russell Wilkinson | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter