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2011-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 81.6% 18.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.0% 70.0% -
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +11 (69-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thibodeaux * 37 3-8 3-6 0-0 4 1 2 1 0 9 9 -
Z. Nixon * 35 3-5 0-1 5-6 5 2 1 0 4 11 10 -
A. Harris * 33 6-8 1-1 3-6 7 2 3 2 1 16 21 -
M. McNeil * 27 3-8 0-0 5-7 3 2 0 1 3 11 6 -
A. Brown * 24 2-9 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 5 -2 -
N. Haywood 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
K. Washington 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
K. Van Slyke 8 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. McLean 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carmouche * 39 4-10 2-4 2-2 8 5 1 0 0 12 16 -
A. Barton * 33 3-8 1-3 3-4 3 2 2 1 0 10 10 -
T. Black * 32 7-12 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 3 0 16 10 -
C. Crawford * 32 2-8 1-6 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 5 4 -
W. Coleman * 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
W. Witherspoon 24 2-3 0-0 9-12 7 2 3 0 3 13 19 -
J. Jackson 12 2-3 1-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 3 9 6 -
W. Barton 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Stephens 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter