Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -18 (37-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuric * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Peyton Siva * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Preston Knowles * | 32 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Terrence Jennings * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +15.1 |
| Rakeem Buckles * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +16.2 |
| Chris Smith | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Gorgui Dieng | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.7 |
| Mike Marra | 13 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Tim Henderson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Elisha Justice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Coburn * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -7.3 |
| James Beatty * | 28 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Dane Miller * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -5.2 |
| Gilvydas Biruta * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -5.3 |
| Frank Mitchell * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Jonathan Mitchell | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -3.5 |
| Mike Poole | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Austin Carroll | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Austin Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Robert Lumpkins | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Mike Kuhn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Charlie Rigoglioso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
* = starter