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2011-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 68.0% 32.0% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 68.3% 31.7% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.4% 8.6% -
Log Adjusted 91.5% 8.5% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -18 (37-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 34 4-10 3-7 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 11 10 -
P. Siva * 32 1-5 0-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. Knowles * 32 4-13 4-9 2-2 8 2 5 0 4 14 12 -
T. Jennings * 26 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 5 0 8 11 -
R. Buckles * 24 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 4 5 -
C. Smith 23 1-5 1-3 4-6 6 2 0 0 1 7 9 -
G. Dieng 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
M. Marra 13 3-6 3-6 0-2 1 1 3 0 0 9 8 -
T. Henderson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Justice 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coburn * 32 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 3 0 -
J. Beatty * 28 2-7 2-7 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Miller * 24 1-6 0-0 1-4 8 4 1 2 3 3 9 -
G. Biruta * 22 3-6 0-0 6-6 6 1 1 0 4 12 10 -
F. Mitchell * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mitchell 28 2-8 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 4 -3 -
M. Poole 23 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 2 1 -
A. Carroll 18 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -
A. Johnson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
R. Lumpkins 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
M. Kuhn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Rigoglioso 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter