Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -17 (53-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald McLemore * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 12-12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | +9.4 |
| Troy Barnies * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Raheem Singleton * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Sean McNally * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +6.6 |
| Terrance Mitchell * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Malachi Peay | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +20.2 |
| Alasdair Fraser | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +7.3 |
| Andrew Rogers | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +3.6 |
| Mike Allison | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -7.9 |
| Tyrone Conley * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | -11.3 |
| Dane Diliegro * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | -12.6 |
| Jordon Bronner * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -5.3 |
| James Valladares * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.5 |
| Brian Benson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.5 |
| Scott Morris | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| Chris Matagrano | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +0.6 |
| DeAndray Buckley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Ryan Herrion | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
* = starter