Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -5 (48-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Mike Kebler * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Garrick Sherman * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Durrell Summers | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Mbakwe * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Blake Hoffarber * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Ralph Sampson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Austin Hollins | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Dawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter