Model Predictions
| Model | JX Sunflowers | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +42.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +44 (96-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
JX Sunflowers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Honda | 36 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Nihara | 30 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Tokashiki | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Y. Terada | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -1 | - |
| H. Suwa | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Y. Mamiya | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Kibayashi | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Yoshida | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Yamada | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Okamoto | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Itoi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray-Lawson | 25 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Y. Oga | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Lilley | 24 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| O. Sanni | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Spears | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 15 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| D. Bonner | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| N. Sanford | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Dupree | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
* = starter