Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos -2 (72-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Greene * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Randal Holt * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Carlton Guyton * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Rodriquez Sherman * | 26 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Justin Manns * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -9.2 |
| Michael Porrini | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Mark Henniger | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Eric Gaines | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flenard Whitfield * | 37 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Demetrius Ward * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +10.3 |
| Mike Douglas * | 35 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Nate Hutcheson * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Matt Stainbrook * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -6.0 |
| Alex Wolf | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Juwan Howard Jr. | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Muhammed Conteh | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Caleb Dean | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter