Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars -19 (45-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Crutcher | 31 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | +13.6 |
| Cornelius Hester | 28 | 9-21 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +9.5 |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +29.3 |
| Casey Cantey | 26 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +14.6 |
| Desmond Jackson | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Jerome Hunter | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +19.6 |
| Diamon Alexander | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Bo Amusa | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Jabari Deshields | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Reggie Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Brandon Ellis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6.1 |
| Justan Banks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Ingram | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -11.8 |
| Jameel Grace | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Quinton Doggett | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -8.2 |
| Brandon White | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -25.0 |
| Blake Sanford | 18 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -16.3 |
| Patrick Coleman | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10.8 |
| Neal Webb | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.5 |
| Madut Bol | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -14.0 |
| Fredrick Coleman | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -12.5 |
| Marceis Davis | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +5.6 |
| Lloyd Hickinson | 6 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Chase | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
* = starter