Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -4 (66-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harouna Mutombo | 34 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | +3.8 |
| Mike Williams | 33 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Trey Sumler | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Brandon Boggs | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Richie Gordon | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +15.2 |
| Keaton Cole | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Tawaski King | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Blake Gallagher | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Preston Ross | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Evans | 32 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 21 | -1.5 |
| Trevis Simpson | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Aaron Brackett | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8.5 |
| Aloysius Henry | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +16.9 |
| Drew Parker | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | -7.4 |
| David Williams | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -8.2 |
| Kyle Randall | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.0 |
| Brian Cole | 15 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -2 | -2.0 |
| Korey Van Dussen | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.6 |
* = starter