Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | North Carolina Central Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Central Eagles -5 (67-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Coleman | 37 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 25 | +13.4 |
| Austin Witter | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Marc Hill | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -2.9 |
| R.J. Buck | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Nic Simpson | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -9.5 |
| Adrian Powell | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +7.2 |
| Ray Lester | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Jeremy Underwood | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | +3.2 |
| DaMetrius Upchurch | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Lawrence Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
| Cristian Henry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.6 |
| Jared Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chasten | 39 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | -1.7 |
| Landon Clement | 38 | 6-18 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | -5.0 |
| C.J. Wilkerson | 35 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | -1.4 |
| Marvin Fitzgerald | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Emanuel Chapman | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Justin Leemow | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -5.6 |
| Dijon Manns | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Tracy O'Neal | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Michael Glasker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jeremy Ingram | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -4.7 |
| Dwayne Sims | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jonathan Nicely | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter