Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Coppin State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Coppin State Eagles +17 (89-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desi Washington | 40 | 8-23 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Casey Walker | 34 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Jay Threatt | 34 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | -6.6 |
| Trevor Welcher | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Jordan Lawson | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -8.8 |
| Terron Stowe | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Marques Oliver | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.3 |
| James Marcellus | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.6 |
| Chad Wilson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.3 |
| Brandon Baylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.4 |
| Brandon Oliver | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Jabari Joyner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Amere May | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.7 |
Coppin State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akeem Ellis | 37 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | +7.2 |
| Vince Goldsberry | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Antonio Williams | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +13.4 |
| Michael Harper | 29 | 9-15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 14 | +15.1 |
| Tony Gallo | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Michael Murray | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -14.2 |
| Jordan Lee | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.7 |
| Ceslovas Kucinskas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.9 |
| Branden Doughty | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.5 |
* = starter