Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +4 (64-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Jacobo * | 38 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | -2.8 |
| Aaron Graham * | 36 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Ridge Graham * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Steve Forbes * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -7.9 |
| Tyshawn Patterson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -18.5 |
| Joel Naburgs | 30 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +17.4 |
| Graeme Radford | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Liam McInerney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.4 |
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Rivera * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | +7.7 |
| Anthony Banks * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Christophe Varidel * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Sherwood Brown * | 30 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | +14.5 |
| Kevin Cantinol * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +6.8 |
| Chase Fieler | 13 | 0-7 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -19.6 |
| Tim Snyder | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -7.4 |
| Hunter Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.2 |
| Chad Lutkenhaus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
* = starter