Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +16 (75-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amu Saaka * | 31 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -8.9 |
| Darryl Evans * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -19.2 |
| Noah States * | 25 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | -26.5 |
| Jordan Miller * | 23 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -1.9 |
| Brandon Sebirumbi * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18.3 |
| Colin Reddick | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -3.5 |
| Justin Dehm | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Chris Toler | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1.3 |
| Richard Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
| Charlie Reddick | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Bryson Barnes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Bell * | 38 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | +18.8 |
| Ricky Taylor * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Chris Early * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 20 | +9.4 |
| Omar Wattad * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +10.3 |
| DeAntre Jefferson * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +7.7 |
| Troy Cage | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +8.6 |
| Jahmal Burroughs | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +6.3 |
| Jeremy Saffore | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.3 |
| Dontay Hampton | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.8 |
| Sam Watson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Jeff Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter