Model Predictions
| Model | Syracuse Orange | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -5 (64-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Joseph * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Rick Jackson * | 38 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Triche * | 33 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Scoop Jardine * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| B. Keita * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Fair | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Fab Melo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Southerland | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Fisher * | 38 | 3-16 | 0-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Antonio Pena * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Corey Stokes * | 36 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Armwood * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Mouphtaou Yarou * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maalik Wayns | 24 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dominic Cheek | 14 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| James Bell | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter