Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lighty * | 40 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jon Diebler * | 38 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jared Sullinger * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 15 | - |
| William Buford * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dallas Lauderdale * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Craft | 37 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Deshaun Thomas | 12 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E'Twaun Moore * | 38 | 13-18 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 28 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Patrick Bade | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Hart | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter