Model Predictions
| Model | Kennesaw State Owls | North Florida Ospreys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Florida Ospreys +2 (90-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kennesaw State Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelvin McConnell * | 51 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Matt Heramb * | 47 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -6.0 |
| LaDaris Green * | 44 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 17 | +2.9 |
| Spencer Dixon * | 37 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Aaron Anderson * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +4.1 |
| Markeith Cummings | 46 | 12-21 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Artie Marine | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Romain Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5.9 |
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerron Granberry * | 46 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 12-13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 19 | -1.4 |
| David Jeune * | 44 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -5.6 |
| Brad Haugabrook * | 41 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Jimmy Williams Jr. * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Andy Diaz * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Parker Smith | 38 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9.1 |
| Matt Sauey | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -8.8 |
| Will Wilson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Charles McRoy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Kyle Groothuis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
* = starter