Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lehigh Mountain Hawks +1 (67-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Mower | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +13.9 |
| Tony Johnson | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Rob Delaney | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -8.4 |
| Jared Mintz | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | +8.0 |
| Darion Benbow | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -21.8 |
| Ryan Willen | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +13.3 |
| Ben Wheeler | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -8.4 |
| Nick Petkovich | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Levi Giese | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -7.1 |
| J.D. Pelham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum | 38 | 4-17 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Holden Greiner | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | -5.0 |
| Mackey McKnight | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Gabe Knutson | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Jordan Hamilton | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Prentice Small | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Rob Keefer | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Michael Ojo | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -2.8 |
| David Safstrom | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Kevin McCarthy | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.5 |
| Anthony D'Orazio | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.5 |
| Justin Maneri | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
* = starter