Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers -1 (47-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustine Rubit * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20 | +1.3 |
| Javier Carter * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +4.5 |
| Gary Redus * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Tim Williams * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Martino Brock * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +4.4 |
| Allyn Cooks | 31 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Antione Lundy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Todd Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| DeAndre Hersey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Hallam * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Brian Stafford * | 37 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -5.0 |
| Chase Hallam * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | -7.3 |
| Tyler Thalken * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Justin Coughlin * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Chris Udofia | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Kyle Lewis | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.6 |
| Trevor Noonan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -0.9 |
* = starter