Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | Binghamton Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Binghamton Bearcats -3 (54-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Aronhalt * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +5.5 |
| Tim Ambrose * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Luke Devlin * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | +12.8 |
| Mike Black * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Blake Metcalf * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -13.3 |
| John Puk | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Ralph Watts | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Jacob Iati | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Billy Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
Binghamton Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moussa Camara * | 35 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Mahamoud Jabbi * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Greer Wright * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Jimmy Gray * | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Robert Mansell * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Kyrie Sutton | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Chretien Lukusa | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -13.4 |
* = starter