Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland State Vikings | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs +11 (74-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris Cole * | 39 | 10-24 | 8-15 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 20 | +3.5 |
| Trey Harmon * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Aaron Pogue * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +6.4 |
| Jeremy Montgomery * | 28 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Tim Kamczyc * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -21.2 |
| Ludovic Ndaye | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +18.2 |
| Josh McCoy | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Joe Latas | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.9 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Hassell * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 22 | +2.7 |
| Ben Finney * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 19 | -1.5 |
| Darius James * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Kent Bazemore * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 20 | -0.6 |
| Chris Cooper * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +5.1 |
| Keyon Carter | 32 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | -7.6 |
| Trian Iliadis | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Marquel De Lancey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Nick Wright | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.7 |
* = starter