Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +6 (74-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bud Thomas | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Langston Hall | 34 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | +0.5 |
| Brian Mills | 33 | 2-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | -3.1 |
| Jakob Gollon | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Mark Hall | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Chris Smith | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -5.7 |
| Justin Cecil | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Monty Brown | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.2 |
| Kevin Canevari | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.1 |
| Paul Larsen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
| Daniel Coursey | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayron Hardy | 35 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 16 | +5.2 |
| Delwan Graham | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | +13.9 |
| Russell Powell | 31 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +8.8 |
| Travis Cohn | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +12.1 |
| Tevin Galvin | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Glenn Powell | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -13.6 |
| Keith McDougald | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Aloys Cabell | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Keion Palmer | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Chris Rozier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Chris Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
* = starter