Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +10 (76-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talor Battle * | 40 | 7-17 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 9 | +4.7 |
| Tim Frazier * | 38 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | +2.8 |
| David Jackson * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Jeff Brooks * | 26 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +5.7 |
| Andrew Jones * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -7.2 |
| Billy Oliver | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Jermaine Marshall | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5.3 |
| Tre Bowman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.4 |
| Cammeron Woodyard | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Leuer * | 37 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +3.8 |
| Josh Gasser * | 34 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +7.7 |
| Jordan Taylor * | 33 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +8.3 |
| Keaton Nankivil * | 31 | 8-9 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +7.2 |
| Tim Jarmusz * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Ryan Evans | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Mike Bruesewitz | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Wquinton Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Jared Berggren | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
* = starter