Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +17 (82-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogo Adegboye * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -10.8 |
| Demitrius Conger * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -3.8 |
| Andrew Nicholson * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 20 | +2.5 |
| Da'Quan Cook * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Michael Davenport * | 19 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Matthew Wright | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Marquise Simmons | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -11.0 |
| Brett Roseboro | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Sam de Haas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.1 |
| Jake Houseknecht | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Anderson * | 37 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | +6.9 |
| Justin Harper * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 20 | +15.4 |
| Kevin Smith * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | +13.8 |
| Dan Geriot * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | -4.4 |
| Kevin Hovde * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Darien Brothers | 23 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | -0.4 |
| Cedrick Lindsay | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +12.0 |
| Darrius Garrett | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Francis-Cedric Martel | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Josh Duinker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
| Derrick Williams | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.8 |
| Greg Robbins | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Conor Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter