Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +7 (87-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Leslie * | 38 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +1.5 |
| Tracy Smith * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +11.9 |
| Lorenzo Brown * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Scott Wood * | 32 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Ryan Harrow * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Javier Gonzalez | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -2.3 |
| C.J. Williams | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +0.9 |
| DeShawn Painter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -7.1 |
| Richard Howell | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Jordan Vandenberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dino Gregory * | 36 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | +3.3 |
| Jordan Williams * | 35 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | +6.3 |
| Terrell Stoglin * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | +5.3 |
| Cliff Tucker * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Pe'Shon Howard * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Sean Mosley | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Adrian Bowie | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1.1 |
| James Padgett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Haukur Palsson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
* = starter