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Holy Cross Crusaders 60
@
American University Eagles 64
2011-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders American University Eagles Spread Result
Elo 17.4% 82.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% - ✓
Margin 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% - ✓

Actual: American University Eagles +4 (64-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Brown 38 5-13 1-4 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 13 2 -
Mike Cavataio 36 6-11 0-0 4-4 4 2 0 1 0 16 12 -
Andrew Keister 35 5-12 0-1 1-2 12 3 1 1 2 11 14 -
Jordan Stevens 26 4-4 1-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
Andrew Beinert 24 1-2 0-1 2-4 3 4 0 0 2 4 7 -
Dee Goens 18 2-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Eric Obeysekere 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -3 -
Josh Jones 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Hendra 38 2-5 1-2 3-4 5 9 1 1 1 8 18 -
Troy Brewer 37 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -
Stephen Lumpkins 34 6-11 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 4 2 13 15 -
Vlad Moldoveanu 29 5-14 0-2 13-15 7 2 0 1 1 23 18 -
Steve Luptak 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Daniel Munoz 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
Charles Hinkle 11 2-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Tony Wroblicky 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Simon McCormack 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter