Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +3 (67-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Schuler * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Troy Huff * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +5.0 |
| Jamal Webb * | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +2.3 |
| Patrick Mitchell * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +9.3 |
| Brandon Brekke * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +0.8 |
| Derek Benter | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Aaron Anderson | 17 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Jordan Allard | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Chris Clausen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Doug Archer | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Mike Mathison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -3.8 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiah Williams * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -13.0 |
| Ben Aird * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | -3.9 |
| Jordan Swarbrick * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -9.2 |
| Geddes Robinson * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -7.7 |
| Holton Hunsaker * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -11.1 |
| Justin Baker | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Shawn Deadwiler | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +9.0 |
| Keith Thompson | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Kevin Woods II | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Rory Fannon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter