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2011-02-19

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota State Bison Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Margin 42.0% 58.0% +1.8 โœ“ (10.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Tveidt * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 13 19 -
Taylor Braun * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 4 2 1 6 20 -
TrayVonn Wright * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 3 3 6 8 -
Freddy Coleman * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 9 11 -
Marshall Bjorklund * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 2 6 -
Drew Lundberg 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 12 16 -
Nate Zastrow 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Eric Carlson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 10 -
Mike Felt 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
Andy Nagel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Plackemeier * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 7 2 1 2 6 20 -
Ben Botts * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 7 16 -
Frank Gaines * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 18 26 -
John Peckinpaugh * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 4 2 4 -
Oleg Kovalov * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Trey McCorkle 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 22 26 -
Jeremy Mixon 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 8 -
Antwaun Boyd 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 5 -
Michael Kibiloski 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 3 7 -
Jason Smeathers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Player #53053 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter