Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota State Bison | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +12 (73-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota State Bison
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Tveidt * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Taylor Braun * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | -9.0 |
| TrayVonn Wright * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -4.5 |
| Freddy Coleman * | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -15.0 |
| Marshall Bjorklund * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Drew Lundberg | 27 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Nate Zastrow | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -15.0 |
| Eric Carlson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8.8 |
| Mike Felt | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -7.2 |
| Andy Nagel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.2 |
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Plackemeier * | 39 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | +15.3 |
| Ben Botts * | 33 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +6.5 |
| Frank Gaines * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +5.7 |
| John Peckinpaugh * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +10.0 |
| Oleg Kovalov * | 6 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Trey McCorkle | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | +13.2 |
| Jeremy Mixon | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +2.4 |
| Antwaun Boyd | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Michael Kibiloski | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Krste Ruiz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Smeathers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter