Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +7 (83-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Thomas * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 21 | -0.2 |
| A'uston Calhoun * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Torian Oglesby * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Dee Brown * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Joe Jakubowski * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordon Crawford | 29 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -0.6 |
| Luke Kraus | 27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Danny McElroy | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +2.4 |
| James Erger | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cameron Black | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Craig Sealey | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Perry * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | +0.0 |
| Ashen Ward * | 38 | 8-14 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | +0.3 |
| Vytas Sulskis * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Blake Allen * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -1.6 |
| DuShawn Brooks | 25 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Dan Boudler | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Tre Brewer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.4 |
* = starter