Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra Pride | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +26 (82-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hofstra Pride
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Jenkins * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | -16.9 |
| David Imes * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -24.0 |
| Brad Kelleher * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Mike Moore * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 8-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | -19.5 |
| Greg Washington * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | -15.4 |
| Stephen Nwaukoni | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Shemiye McLendon | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -7.8 |
| Yves Jules | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Paul Bilbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Matt Grogan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.3 |
| Roland Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Duggins * | 37 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 21 | +20.1 |
| N'Gai Evans * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +22.5 |
| Cooper Land * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +13.0 |
| Matt Vest * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +14.8 |
| Cole Darling * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Vance Hall | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +21.6 |
| AJ Pacher | 21 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +17.5 |
| Johann Mpondo | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +10.4 |
| Kegan Clark | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Armond Battle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
* = starter