Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Wofford Terriers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wofford Terriers +5 (66-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bond * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Randy Davis * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | +15.5 |
| Jarrod Jones * | 26 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Malik Perry * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -12.5 |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jesse Berry | 14 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -13.6 |
| Tyrae Robinson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -19.7 |
| Pierre Sneed | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Zach Fields | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Dahlman * | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 18 | +14.7 |
| Jamar Diggs * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Tim Johnson * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 22 | +9.7 |
| Cameron Rundles * | 28 | 4-13 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Brad Loesing * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | -1.1 |
| Kevin Giltner | 25 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +12.8 |
| Terry Martin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Nathan Parker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Drew Crowell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
* = starter